Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004317 0.004742 0.005199 0.005729 0.006327 0.006984 0.007763
2025-09-14 0.003706 0.004314 0.005017 0.005897 0.006977 0.008271 0.009957
2025-09-21 0.003237 0.003908 0.004721 0.005790 0.007177 0.008943 0.011400
2025-09-28 0.002896 0.003596 0.004475 0.005679 0.007313 0.009497 0.012715
2025-10-05 0.002669 0.003395 0.004336 0.005670 0.007555 0.010191 0.014281
2025-10-12 0.002524 0.003283 0.004294 0.005775 0.007948 0.011120 0.016301
2025-10-19 0.002344 0.003104 0.004142 0.005703 0.008067 0.011647 0.017762
2025-10-26 0.002206 0.002970 0.004037 0.005682 0.008251 0.012283 0.019474
2025-11-02 0.002066 0.002822 0.003898 0.005595 0.008318 0.012728 0.020915
2025-11-09 0.001974 0.002737 0.003843 0.005628 0.008572 0.013502 0.023048
2025-11-16 0.001870 0.002625 0.003739 0.005573 0.008671 0.014016 0.024770
2025-11-23 0.001756 0.002492 0.003592 0.005435 0.008615 0.014245 0.025962
2025-11-30 0.001676 0.002409 0.003523 0.005428 0.008799 0.014959 0.028324
2025-12-07 0.001639 0.002389 0.003553 0.005590 0.009304 0.016345 0.032410
2025-12-14 0.001550 0.002284 0.003437 0.005489 0.009314 0.016769 0.034428
2025-12-21 0.001469 0.002184 0.003324 0.005385 0.009306 0.017151 0.036422
2025-12-28 0.001412 0.002122 0.003268 0.005378 0.009481 0.017932 0.039556
2026-01-04 0.001379 0.002095 0.003271 0.005476 0.009873 0.019232 0.044330
2026-01-11 0.001319 0.002022 0.003188 0.005408 0.009921 0.019773 0.047185
2026-01-18 0.001272 0.001967 0.003133 0.005389 0.010067 0.020557 0.050922
2026-01-25 0.001218 0.001897 0.003050 0.005307 0.010072 0.021007 0.053784
2026-02-01 0.001185 0.001862 0.003025 0.005338 0.010322 0.022089 0.058897
2026-02-08 0.001142 0.001807 0.002961 0.005286 0.010383 0.022706 0.062682